Weather and climate change

Headline:

Rain moving into the west on Saturday.

This Evening and Tonight:

Rain moves in across Northern Ireland and western Scotland overnight. Elsewhere, patchy cloud with winds remaining strong in the north with the risk of some local gales.

Saturday:

Rain stays persistent across Scotland which will be heavy at times, and moves eastwards across Wales and England. Sunny spells in the far south east but cloudier elsewhere.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

Outbreaks of rain stalling over southern England on Sunday. Brighter skies to follow, with sunshine and scattered showers arriving on Monday. Tuesday remains similar with sunny spells.

Updated: 17:00 (UTC+1) on Fri 26 Sep 2025

A northwest-southeast split in conditions to start, with spells of rain and strong winds affecting northwestern areas and predominantly dry weather towards the southeast. As Hurricane Humberto moves into the North Atlantic and loses its tropical characteristics, this will likely have an influence on the UK's weather, with the potential for a more widely unsettled and windy spell around the first weekend of October. Beyond here, confidence in the details remains low, owing to the potential for further Atlantic tropical cyclone activity, but further spells of wet and windy weather are possible, more likely across northern areas, with lengthier drier spells in the south. Temperatures probably generally near to a little above average by day, though the possibility of chilly nights and overnight fog later on in the south.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Fri 26 Sep 2025

A continuation of the broad patterns from the end of the 6-15 day forecast is anticipated at first, with the more unsettled conditions focussed towards northern areas and the best of the drier interludes further south. From around mid October, there is a signal for more widely unsettled weather to develop, with more frequent bouts of wet and windy weather affecting a greater portion of the UK. Given the likelihood of westerly winds predominating, temperatures should average out a little above the seasonal norm, with overnight temperatures more often relatively mild, probably with a reduced incidence of overnight fog, compared to normal.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Fri 26 Sep 2025