Machine Learning model demonstrates promising seasonal forecasting capability
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England | Environment Agency |
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Mostly dry on Saturday. Rain arrives for Sunday.
Dry start to the weekend for most, though a few showers possible for Northern Ireland and northwest Scotland. Sunny spells turning hazy at times as cloud builds from the west. Rather warm for many, but turning windy in the west.
Coastal gales developing in the Irish Sea as outbreaks of rain approach the far west towards dawn. Dry and breezy elsewhere with some clear spells. A muggy night for many.
Outbreaks of rain spreading northeastwards, heavy at times, though some eastern areas possibly staying dry. Sunny spells and showers follow. Windy, with coastal gales shifting to Scotland. Feeling humid.
Remaining unsettled with showers and longer spells of rain possible for all regions at times, though generally wettest in the west. Often breezy. Temperatures trending down a little bit.
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Much of this period will be unsettled, with low pressure dominating the pattern. This will mean showers or longer spells of rain will affect most of the UK at times. Some heavy rain or showers are expected in places, most often in the west and north. Thunderstorms and hail are also possible, as are some spells of strong winds, especially if any deep areas of low pressure develop and affect the UK. Later in the period, there may be some longer spells of drier weather that develop, especially towards the south, with more in the way of sunshine due to higher pressure. Temperatures will likely be close to average or slightly below overall, but may rise above at times in any drier, sunnier spells.
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This period is likely to be changeable. Areas of low pressure are likely at times, especially towards the north of the UK. These will bring spells of rain and showers, some of which are likely to be heavy with a risk of hail and thunder, and some windy conditions, especially if any deep lows form. Some drier, more settled interludes are also likely, perhaps more particularly early in the period when higher pressure may be more dominant, especially towards the south. Temperatures are likely to be close to or a little above average overall, although chilly nights with some fog patches are possible when and where skies are clear and winds light.
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